For those who saw the hand I posted last week, the results were that I ended up calling the flop raise and call/allin the turn bet on a 5 turn. I lost to K4. I think given the responses and thinking about it more that it was played fine by me. I want to fold badly when he bets the turn but he may be repping too little or show up with some weird value too much to actually do it.

Today, I played this HU sng hand and afterwords I got berated hard core for it. I’m wondering what you guys think of this since its clearly a crazy play to make. Note I have zero reads on this guy. He’s likely a lower stakes hu sng reg or competent in some form of holdem given he is a supernova VIP status on PS.

PokerStars Game #43373590741: Tournament #267867597, $550+$20 USD Hold’em No Limit – Match Round I, Level I (10/20) – 2010/04/29 18:39:38 ET
Table ’267867597 1′ 2-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: heybude (1500 in chips)
Seat 2: joachimpowa (1500 in chips)
heybude: posts small blind 10
joachimpowa: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to heybude [Jh 3s]
heybude: raises 20 to 40
joachimpowa: calls 20
*** FLOP *** [7h 7d Ts]
joachimpowa: checks
heybude: bets 40
joachimpowa: calls 40
*** TURN *** [7h 7d Ts] [As]
joachimpowa: checks
heybude: bets 120

Everything is pretty standard up to this point. I bet this turn even though he had some aces and tens in his range. I felt like there were some king highs and gutters he would call the flop with or even total floats so I wanted to get him off those hands. It seemed plausible as well that he could give off some easy timing tell that he didn’t have a 7, which means I could do some extreme like overbet the river and expect him to fold.

joachimpowa: raises 260 to 380 (timing: relatively quickly)

heybude: calls 260

I won’t get into my reads too much, but I thought it was unlikely he would do anything like this without a 7x or 77, so he was probably bluffing. My issue was how do I win the hand. The size of my stack made a reraise awkward. I felt like it was more likely he had some sort of combo turned with a gutter and fd than pure air so I felt like it was like if I called the raise I could easily shove and win if he checked. But if he continued his bluff, I was screwed. Also, I felt like I couldn’t reraise because he could simply shove his draw and id have to fold. One factor that supported calling was his stack was actually going to be slightly under pot, which would make it possible for me to bluff shove a big river bet that wasnt all in.

*** RIVER *** [7h 7d Ts As] [3h]
joachimpowa: bets 1040 and is all-in (nearly instantly)

So I hit my 3 on the river and to my dismay he overshoved the pot, which makes my potential bluff here seem terrible. On the other hand, I hit my 3…

heybude: calls 1040 and is all-in

Is this a blunder with too many assumptions or bad analysis? Or did I make a genius call?